Posts Tagged ‘handicapping’

Free Play of The Day Today…!!

 

Thursday July 8, 2010
 
We look to extend our POD win streak to 4 games tonight following our win last night with Houston….I told you that even "bad" teams have a good spot to get a win…
 
We haven't had a solid total play for our POD in quite awhile, well we have one tonight. It appears that the linesmakers did not get past looking at the overall record of the pitchers. Carpenter is obviously the ace for St. Louis and has a season ERA of 3.16 and Jiminez looking for his 15th win comes in with a 2.27 ERA…So this means you have to play the under…right?….Let's hold on for just a minute and dig a little deeper into this game. (Read full Article Here)

College Football Notebook: Purdue

More than 80 years have past since the Boilermakers of Purdue won the Big Ten title in 1929. It appears it will be 81 years after this season. Having lost 6 starters on offense and 5 on defense, some think that would be an improvement for them, but losing starting QB Joey Elliott will be hard to make up. He had a 61.7 completion rate, threw for 3026 yards and 22 touchdowns. They also lost their top three rushers including Ralph Bolden a 1000 yard gainer last year with a 4.7 yard per carry average. On defense they lose their top tackler in Tom Williams They went 5-7 last year averaging 27.8 points per game which will most likely not be matched this year with loss of Elliott. (Read full Article Here)

Betting The NFL Futures

Making a future bet before the season starts, means that you will have your money tied up with the book for nearly 6 months. That being the case you certainly want a decent return, kind of like accruing interest on your money. Unless your putting down a sizable amount of money on a single future bet, it is not feasible to bet a future on a 2-1 or 5-2 favorite. Any way you cut it, your odds are still 31 against you…Obviously the realistic odds are probably around 20/1 as there are always at least 10 or 12 teams that you can throw out as not having any kind of a chance of making it to the playoffs much less the Superbowl.

I like to make at least 2 future bets to win the Superbowl, one in the NFC and one in the AFC..I more often than not make two plays in each conference. If your playing 3 or 4 plays, it becomes obvious that you don't want to play a 2/1 favorite, you could win the 2/1 bet and still end up losing money on your future bets. I look for odds that will give me a "hedging" opportunity. Over the years I have made more money hedging future bets than winning the future bet itself. Again to have good hedging opportunities you need

(Read full Article Here)

Some Surprising Stats For Handicapping Baseball

The Game Has Changed…Some Surprising Stats…Bullpens Now Make Up 36% Of The Game…!!!!

Handicapping baseball strategies have changed drastically in the past few years..It used to be that you could just handicap the starting pitchers, go with the best and you would get a good winning percentage. Not any more. Here are some stats that might surprise you…

The average innings pitched per starter in the (Read full Article Here)

Getting Ready For Football..Special Considerations

There are some special considerations this year in getting ready for college football. For example, how will the sanctions against USC effect the play of team? Will they remain competitive or will the distractions have an impact? Will the mix up of the conferences involving the Big 12, Big 10 and the Pac 10 effect the mindset of the players? What do you think? There are many suspensions that have occurred over the summer some of them to very key players…You have to do a lot of reading to get all the updates and stay atop of these situations.

As always, we have to start to adjust our power rating numbers to account for the graduates and transfers. Also as mentioned above you have to make adjustments for the first part of the season for the players who have been suspended for the first games of the season.

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Legendary Sport Bettor Swindled Out of Millions

Sport Bettor Swindled

Legendary Sport Bettor and handicapper Lem Banker has reportedly been swindled out of nearly 3 Million dollars..and you might be surprised at who the culprits were…. See Video Here:  

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Betting Baseball: Handicapping The Pitchers

Handicapping Pitchers…A Simple But Most Accurate Formula

Years ago you could handicap a baseball game almost solely on the proficiency of the starting pitchers. Handicapping baseball was a lot more simpler when the starting pitchers were going 8 or 9 innings and you had one or two relief appearance by pitchers. Not true any longer.

Today the bullpen makes up on average a third of the entire games. It is rare to see a complete game in the majors today. You have early relief, middle relief, set up relievers, early closers and late closers. Starting pitchers longevity in a game is now mostly determined by pitch count rather than the overall performance and game situation. A pitcher can be throwing a one hit shutout in the 7th inning, but because a couple of batters fouled off 5 or 6 pitches, his pitch count exceeded the set amount the manager established before the game started, so he is pulled. Ridiculous…!!!

There are basically two parts to handicapping any sport and (Read full Article Here)

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