Posts Tagged ‘handicapping’

Track the Bet is a sports betting analytics software which helps users manage their sports picks with multiple reports and graphs. Users can view their Overall Records, Total Profit & ROI by sport for the following bet types:

• Straight, Parlay & Teasers
• Money line, Spread & Total
• Home/Road Underdogs & Home/Road Favorites
• Conference & Team

Users can also create customized, daily e-mail Alerts and Saved Reports to help (Read full Article Here)

CFB: Week #1 / Thurs Sept 2 Game Opinions

Southern Miss at South Carolina -14.0 (47.0)
Southern Miss is 2-11 in road openers and have lost the last 5 by average of 15 ppg. They lose 8 starters on offense including 1000 yard rusher Damion Fletcher.
Since Spurrier has taken over the helm at South Carolina, the Gamecocks have not been known for explosive offense, they average slightly over 20.0 per game the past two seasons and 23.6 in his 5 years. This may change a little as they are returning 9 starters on the offensive side of the ball. They will be without standout TE Weslye Saunders who has been suspended and Spurrier has given no indication about his return date. Gamecocks have won 10 consecutive opening games and Steve Spurrier is 24-1 as a head coach in openers.
Opinion: None…South Carolina will win but averaging only 20 pts per game makes it very iffy to cover a 14 point spread.
T-Rating Line: South Carolina -14.16  (Read full Article Here)

NFL preseason can be a great way to build your regular season betting bankroll. Statistical data, power rankings, offense and defensive rankings..etc. are all but useless in handicapping preseason games. Without statistical data to rely on, most bookmakers have the same problems as the handicapper when trying to set a favorable line on these games. This is why you will find most preseason spreads hovering around a field goal. We have consistently cashed very nicely for our members in preseason selections over the years and expect the same again this season. Following are a few things to watch for when (Read full Article Here)

Despite the efforts of the US government to curtail gambling on the internet, millions of dollars are still being wagered each day on sporting events, poker and online casino’s. Estimates for the amount of money being wagered yearly on sporting events vary greatly but it is a common acceptance by all the estimators that it is in the Billions of dollars. Obviously the internet makes up a big part with its worldwide attraction and availability, but there are also the legal sports books in States like Nevada and some foreign countries that have legalized betting on sporting events.

What makes it difficult to get an accurate estimate is the number of “barber shop bookies” throughout the US and around the world. The illegal bookmakers it is estimated, makes up nearly 50% of all sport betting action annually. What draws the public to the “windows” to place wagers on sporting events….? Of course many are drawn by the thrill of having “something riding” on a game and almost always can watch the outcome on a TV broadcast.

Why do the Vegas Sports Books put a TV next to a game on their board? Because they know that more action will come in on a game that is being televised than ones that are not. This alone may answer the question of how many sport bettors actually end the season or the year with a profit? Playing games just because they are (Read full Article Here)

If you’re a regular football bettor, I am sure you have experienced the frustration of watching what you thought to be a winning ticket go into the trash because of a one or two point loss to the spread. Getting the edge on the bookmaker and racking up the win many times can mean finding that 1 or 2 point advantage. Astute handicappers and sport bettors are constantly “shopping the line” on a game they have an interest in betting, looking for that ½ point that could swing a loser into a winner. One way to find that “edge” is knowing what the “real” home field advantage is for a given game matchup. Bookmakers will arbitrarily assign a 3 point line advantage to the home team in the NFL and 4 points to the home team in (Read full Article Here)

In my opinion, and it is just my opinion, but I believe that playing the underdog on the runline is one of the worst bets in all sports. Obviously there are some who will disagree with me, but if you asked an opinion of 100 handicappers on any issue related to sport betting, you may get 100 different opinions.

My thoughts are, that if you play the dog on the runline getting +1.5 runs, 90% of the time you have to (Read full Article Here)