Archive for the ‘Sports Betting’ Category

Be Careful…Don’t overreact to weather related Line Movements….This is the time of year where the astute sport bettor can really take advantage of the value in line movements.Injuries start to pile up and the weather starts to become a factor which normally will create line movements throughout the NFL and CFB schedule especially the totals lines. In most cases the general public wil “overreact” to an injury announcement or a inclement weather report assuming that because there may be some snow on the ground, the scoring will be lower and the underdog will have an advantage to the spread. (Read full Article Here)

College Football Notebook….
Wednesday Night Football…Rutgers @ South Florida….This is a matchup of two teams who do not fare well against the betting line. Rutgers is 1-5 against the spread and S. Florida is 2-4. Rutgers has won 3 games on the season and S. Florida has 4 wins. Rutgers has done well when installed as a road dog over the previous 4 years, racking up a 9-2 record in this situation (0-2) this year. Their offense is near anemic when on the road this year, as they are averaging only 208 total yards per game and 3.3 yards per play. (Read full Article Here)

Friday Night Football……W. Virginia -6.5 @ Connecticut…. Both of these teams are coming off conference losses in their last games. No big surprise for Uconn’s loss as they were a road dog at Louisville, but W. Virginia’s loss was surprising as they were upset on their home field by Syracuse 19-14. W. Virginia is 5-1 ATS and 6-0 SU against Uconn in their last 6 meetings. The Mountaineers have improved on their 22 points against average of a year ago as they are allowing only 13.2 points per game so far this season. Despite two losses, (Read full Article Here)

Two big stories that have the media humming over this game, the return of Randy Moss and the re-emergence of LaDanian Thomlinson. Most feel that the Moss/Favre connection is all the Vikings need to get to the post season…hmmm, maybe half that statement is right, but Favre had better pick it up. The way he is playing right now, he shoudl have put more consideration into retiring.

I was not a believer in the Jets this season, in fact I recommended a future play that they wouldn’t win 9 games, I am biting tongue right now as I am rapidly becoming a believer that they in fact are for real…LT is the difference in this team being in the playoffs or just remaining a one dimensional defensive team. (Read full Article Here)

Considering myself an outstanding handicapper and a “smart money” sport bettor, I have to say that this season of NFL has been nothing short of embarrassing for me. In talking with some of my peers, I found that most are experiencing the same problems. For those who are on the winning side, I congratulate you and hope your success continues, however, the “Joe’s” are heading for a big fall and it won’t be long for the “Smart money” players to once again prevail. Although ESPN’s John Claytons recent  article isn’t geared toward sport bettor’s, he sums up some of the Bizarre very nicely… Article

Dogs Howl in Week 3
It’s been a very unusual start to the NFL season as many teams are playing above or below their projections. Eleven underdogs covered the spread and there were 8 upsets in week 3, that’s 50% of all games resulted in upset wins. Surprisingly we find Kansas City, Chicago and Pittsburgh the only 3-0 teams heading into week 4. The Chiefs and Bears are certainly suprises as both were projected to finish last in their respective divisions. (Read full Article Here)

Packers @ Bears
Both teams come in 2-0. The Packers “no surprise” but the Bears, well they were predicted by many to finish last in the division this year. Which Bear team will show up tonight is the question, the one that got lucky in week one when Detroits game winning TD was overturned, or the one that beat the heavily favored Dallas Cowboy’s. (Read full Article Here)