Archive for the ‘Baseball’ Category

Football Is Here ..A Very Special Offer

Football Is Finally Here…A Very Unique Offer To Followers..!!

The Baseball season was nothing short of a disaster….We tried and tried but could never get a handle on baseball 2011 and as a result suffered our 2nd losing season in 19 years…After winning continously for so long, you start to become somewhat complacent, expecting to win all the time. It’s a rude awakening and a jolt back to reality, that this is in fact sport betting, a form of “gambling” in which anything can and eventually will happpen…
Many of you have been extremely kind to me during this period, offering many excuses for the losing season, most of you contributing it to my heart attack in December..I would like to think that was the case, but in all honesty I can’t say that except for a two week recuperating and resting period, I was still doing all the same things handicapping i did before the heart attack.
I have however dug deeply into a possible cause, and I do believe I have found it. You see I have ruled out the heart atttack as the excuse or cause because we did not have a real good basketball season either, (it was a winner however) and last football season although it was a winner was still below our normal performance levels. (Read full Article Here)

Free Guaranteed Play of The Day ..May 16

  Guaranteed Play of the Day
(“It wins or you don’t pay”)
  
Monday May 16, 2011
 
Today:
MLB: Milwaukee (marcum) -1.25 over Dodgers (garland)
 Marcum is averaging 0.13 earned runs per inning pitched, he is averaging 6.33 innings per game on the road this season, meaning he will give up 0.82 earned runs while on the mound. The Brewer bullpen is averaging 0.40 earned runs per inning pitched. They figure to be used 2.67 innings tonight which means they will give up 1.06 runs. This totals 1.88 expected runs given up by the Brewers pitching…They are averaging giving up 0.40 “unearned” runs per game making the total the Milwaukee should give up with Marcum and the existing bullpen would be 2.28 …The Dodgers are averaging 1.93 runs per game when at home versus right handed pitching…
This gives the Dodgers a total expected run output of 2.10 runs
 
Garland for the Dodgers is giving up 0.47 runs per innings pitched and is averaging going 6.33 inning per game at home this season..This means he is expected to give up 2.97 runs in his 6 1/3 innings. The Dodgers existing bullpen for tonight is averaging giving up 0.49 runs per inning pitched, figuring they go 2.67 tonight, they will give up 1.30 runs. So Garland and the bullpen expect to give up a total of 3.97 runs. The Dodgers are averaging giving up 0.21 unearned runs per game making the total to be given up at 4.07 runs. The Brewers are averaging 3.57 runs per game on the road versus right handers this season…
Brewers expect to have a final run out put of 3.82
 
T-Rating Formula Final Score: Milwaukee 3.82 – Dodgers 2.10
 
Subjectives: Dodgers are 1-3 with Garland on the mound this season….Milwaukee has won their last 3 and 5 of last 6….Milwaukee has put up 36 runs in their last 6 games….Dodgers 7 runs in the last 4 games…..Dodgers bullpen has a 7:08 ERA in home games this season…Milwaukee’s pen is 3.70 on the road….Marcum has a 1.70 ERA on the road this year…Garland is 4.26 at home…..Dodgers are missing Furcal, Blake, Broxton and Kuo for tonights game.
 
My Projection: Milwuakee 5 Dodgers 2
 
This is based on my T-Rating formula I designed nearly 20 years ago and has produced 19 winning seasons.  When there is a difference of 1.0 runs, a play is considered…A 1.50 difference is considered a strong play..and a 2.0 difference is usually a “runline” play. In today’s example we have a difference of +1.72 runs. All other factors and subjectives such as “winning and losing streaks” injuries, existing bullpen, trends etc must be onsidered before making a play just based on the number result of the formula.
 
Guaranteed play of the day is emailed daily….$25.00…It wins or your fee is refunded.

Big Bucks Betting Baseball

Big Bucks Betting Baseball…

Of all the betting sports, Baseball has got to be by far the most profitable of all. The number of games, the flexible money line and runline pricing all add to the additional profitability possibilities in baseball betting. The 3 way round robin parlay with 2 dogs and 3 favorites is one of my favorite bets in baseball. Runline parlays’, totals and moneyline parlay’s off the bettor many opportunities is used intelligently.

Unfortunately for most sport bettors..they don’t have enough hours in a day to be able to handicap a complete schedule of baseball games properly. With the exception of the rare few who handicap for a living, most sport bettors have other responsibilities such as a full time job that takes up many precious hours that would be needed for handicapping baseball. (Read full Article Here)

Why 95% of Sport Bettors Don’t Win… #1 of #5

Mistakes Sport Bettors Make…#1 of 5

One of the book maker’s favorite clients is the “action player”, the one who has to make a play on every game that is televised. If you have ever visited a Las Vegas sport book, you will see a big “TV” symbol on the betting board next to the games that are being televised. Why? Because they know that action players will make bets on those games even without a justifiable reason for making the bet. Thus turns out to be at best a 50/50 proposition for the bettor and the book and in that scenario the book wins the bettor loses because of the vig or commission. (Read full Article Here)

Great New Tool for Staying on Track This Season

Spread Betting Software

Track the Bet is a sports betting analytics software which helps users manage their sports picks with multiple reports and graphs. Users can view their Overall Records, Total Profit & ROI by sport for the following bet types:

  • Straight, Parlay & Teasers
  • Money line, Spread & Total
  • Home/Road Underdogs & Home/Road Favorites
  • Conference & Team

Users can also create customized, daily e-mail Alerts and Saved Reports to help (Read full Article Here)

Sports Betting…..Reality Vs Expectation

Despite the efforts of the US government to curtail gambling on the internet, millions of dollars are still being wagered each day on sporting events, poker and online casino’s. Estimates for the amount of money being wagered yearly on sporting events vary greatly but it is a common acceptance by all the estimators that it is in the Billions of dollars. Obviously the internet makes up a big part with its worldwide attraction and availability, but there are also the legal sports books in States like Nevada and some foreign countries that have legalized betting on sporting events.

What makes it difficult to get an accurate estimate is the number of “barber shop bookies” throughout the US and around the world. The illegal bookmakers it is estimated, makes up nearly 50% of all sport betting action annually. What draws the public to the “windows” to place wagers on sporting events….? Of course many are drawn by the thrill of having “something riding” on a game and almost always can watch the outcome on a TV broadcast.

Why do the Vegas Sports Books put a TV next to a game on their board? Because they know that more action will come in on a game that is being televised than ones that are not. This alone may answer the question of how many sport bettors actually end the season or the year with a profit? Playing games just because they are (Read full Article Here)

Handicapping The Offense In Baseball

Baseball is not generally thought of as an offensive or defensive game, at least the terms are not commonly used. Pitching and hitting are the more common terms when relating to offense or defense in baseball. The defense in baseball is made up of the starting pitching, the bullpen, the unearned runs allowed and the overall fielding prowess of the nine men on the field. There are dozens of stats that are present in handicapping baseball, but the bottom line is that only one stat is the determining factor which decides whether you cash your ticket or deposit it in a trash can…That is “runs scored”..! Batting Avg, on base percentage, steals, etc all add up to the final stat which is scoring runs..However, the team with the highest batting avg or men on base percentage is not going to cash your ticket unless they put runs on the board. There is little doubt that (Read full Article Here)

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