Monday CFB: Boise St vs Virginia Tech

By now sport bettors and college football enthusiasts have to be aware of the implications surrounding this game for Boise St. They have shot at playing for the BCS Championship if they can run the table and go undefeated. This game against the Hokies of Virginia Tech is by far the toughest game on their schedule and could be the deciding factor as to whether they play in the championship game.

This basically a “pick ‘em” game with Vir Tech currently sitting as a 1 point favorite. They game is on a neutral field being played FedEx field in Lanover MD. From a geographic standpoint this may give a slight edge to the Hokies in relationship to distance and may see more of a “home crowd”. Boise went 14-0 last year and outscored their opponents by a whopping 25 points per game (42-17), but you must take into consideration the caliber of teams they play in the WAC conference. They did beat a good Oregon team last year in the opening week. They currently have a 56 game home winning streak.

They return “20″ starters this year, 10 on each side of the ball, which would indicate a repeat of the 2009 season, they can’t do any better. Coach Chris Peterson is in his fifth year and has racked up a 49-4 record in his first four. Although it is not what you consider a road dog role seeing as it is only a 1 point spread, they are 5-1 against the spread when a road dog the past 4 years. Boise has won four of their last 5 games against BCS teams. Overall they are 21-2 when on the road the last 23 games away from the blue carpet.

They have two RB’s that combined for nearly 2000 yards last year (1982) and two Wr’s that also combined for nearly 2000 yards (1896). Starting QB Kellen Moore threw for 3536 yards with an unbelievable 39-3 TD to INT ratio. Their is little doubt this unit will put points on the board. They will be tested for sure as defense minded coach Frank Beamer teams of Vir Tech in the last 4 years have allowed an average 15.0 points per game.

Virginia Tech went 10-3 last year but ended their season going 5-0 including a huge bowl game win over Tennessee in the Chick-fil-a bowl 37-14. They return 8 starters on a offensive unit that averaged 32 point per game last year and nearly 400 yards. They RB Ryan Williams returns having racked up 1720 yards last year and QB Tyrod Taylor had 570 yards on the ground. Tech may have some question marks on defense as they lose 7 starters from a year ago including their leading tackler, their leading sack man and 2 defensive backs.

My opinion on this game is that it is a good one to sit back and enjoy and keep your bankroll in the bank. Had VT not lost the defensive players they did, I would be considering the play on the Hokies. I make my T-Rating line at Boise -0.85, basically a pick ‘em game. I would however be looking at a play on the total to go over 50.0 Both teams obviously have the starters returning on offense that can put up points, but with Tech’s defense being a little suspect, this could be a game in the range of 28-27 or 30-27.

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