Archive for November, 2009

Patriots/Saints..Too Obvious ??

Don’t be too quick to jump on the over…..There is little doubt this is a classic matchup between Super Bowl contending teams and should be one of the most entertaining games of the season to watch…Many bettors are jumping on the total in this game to go over the 56.5…looking at the trends it would be the obvious bet, however, I am wondering if this isn’t just a little too obvious…I don’t believe in what they call “trap games” but if one would fall into this category, this could be it.

Looking at the trends for the Over/Under on this game…All 20 trends that I was able to find for N. Orleans are favoring the over in this game while 10 of the 13 trends I found favor the over for N. England. (Read full Article Here)

The “Real” Home Court Advantage

 Getting The Edge…. With The “Real” Home Court Advantage

If you’re a regular sport bettor, I am sure you have experienced the frustration of watching what you thought to be a winning ticket go into the trash because of a one or two point loss to the spread. Getting the edge on the bookmaker and racking up the win many times can mean finding that 1 or 2 point advantage. Astute handicappers and sport bettors are constantly “shopping the line” on a game they have an interest in betting, looking for that ½ point that could swing a loser into a winner. One way to find that “edge” is knowing what the “real” home field/court advantage is for a given game matchup. Bookmakers will arbitrarily assign a 3 point line advantage to the home team in the NFL and NBA and 4 points to the home team in college matchups. (Read full Article Here)

10 Things To Consider When Handicapping Bowl Games….

Handicapping bowl games has a few different things to consider when trying to beat the line. You obviously still have to take your normal statistical handicapping formulas into consideration, but there are situations that are unique to handicapping bowl games. Here are the ones I consider to be important when doing your analyzation.
#1 – Look for teams coming into their bowl with momentum…I like to look at the last 3 games. Teams coming in on winning streaks are more to my favor than teams that have lost their last game or 2 out of 3 of their last 3 games.

(Read full Article Here)

Discipline…The Trait Of A Winner

Lack of discipline is the biggest factor for a losing sport bettor…

I started handicapping horse racing and sporting events when I was about 12 years old..In fact I was sent home from my 8th grade english class for having a racing form tucked inside my english text book…This came about as a result of a very close relationship to an Uncle who was a professional gambler, and a very successful one at that. He made millions in his lifetime just betting on horses and sporting events… (Read full Article Here)

Handicapping The 2nd Half Of NFL

TonyDiamondsports….Nov 10,2009
“Bounce Back” Week off to a good start….After suffering our first losing week in the past 6 weeks, we have started out nicely with a 4-1 night on Monday…We lost 14 units last week in football as we dropped three of our 3 Diamond top plays…It was the worst weekend in football I have ever had in my 18+ years in this business…Overall the week wasn’t a disaster as we did very well with our NBA and NHL…
NHL Continues to Roll….The NHL went 1-0 last night extending our winning days to 8 of the last 9…Our season record is now at a unbelievable 68.2% with a 43-20 record overall…We have run off a 19-6 (76.0%) streak in the past 8 days.
College Hoops Are Back…as we started out the season with a win on Murray State +14 last night over California…We normally do very well the beginning of a season because we are one of the few services that keep up with all 1-A teams throughout the year, so we feel we have an edge on the books as we have done our off-season homework.
Handicapping the 2nd half of the NFL…..This is the time of the season when you must do a lot of extra reading and paying close attention to the standings. There are teams that have no chance of making the playoffs, so when considering a play on or against these teams you must do some in depth reading of locker room reports, coaches interviews to determine the mindset and the strategy the coaches are going to be using in the remaining games…Are they going to start to look at a lot of their future starters, give extra rest to those suffering minor or nagging injuries. Is there some dissention or lack of enthusiasm in the locker room?…Many times by “reading between the lines” you are able to pick up valuable information that will help make a decision of a play or no play…
College Football Bowl Eligibility Watch….With some teams having only two games left on their regular schedule, some college teams are looking to become bowl eligible, while others are just playing out the season hoping to play the spoiler role…The mindset and emotional factor for teams that are out of it, is a little different than in the NFL….There are many more distractions for the college students than the NFL player…The NFL player is getting paid to do a job and, getting paid very well, so with upcoming free agency’s etc, the NFL player must continue to “do his job” to the best of his ability…whereas the college coaches have a much harder time keeping the emotions and mental positiveness at a peak when there is nothing left to play for except maybe pride…Again paying close attention to these scenarios is very important at this time of season…In addition to looking to become just bowl eligible, there are teams fighting for conference championships and BCS bowl bids…Check our blog daily from here on as I will be updating and pointing out upcoming games that fall into the above scenarios.
Very special Bowl Package and NFL Season Ending Membership Special….We are now offering the remainder of the football season which includes our Bowl Package, All NFL, NBA, CBB, NHL every day from now through the Superbowl for the price of a 30 day membership package. Go to the website www.tonydiamondsports.com and click on the “buy now” or “member pricing” button and purchase the “30 day” package and your membership will automatically be updated to remain active through the superbowl 2010.

Amazing Rationale From a Loser

It’s Friday Nov 6, 2009 at 7:30 am pacific..I’m just finishing my first cup of coffee when my phone rings. The caller is a sport bettor from Canada who is inquiring as to how to win betting sports…?? I really didn’t get the gist of the question until he explained to me that he is a hockey fanatic and loves betting the games, but he has lost nearly $5,000.00 so far this season betting $200 to $300 per game. He said (Read full Article Here)

Virginia Tech @ E. Carolina

Today’s Complimentary Best Bet…
Virginia Tech -13.5 @ E. Carolina
It would appear that the game situation sets up nicely for Va. Tech as they will be in  a revenge situation having been upset (-9) on their home field last year by E. Carolina 27-22. They are also in a bounce back situation as they were upset by N. Carolina last week 20-17 as a 15.5 point home favorite..They were also upset the week before by Ga Tech 28-23 and again on their home field…
However, if history tells us anything, the Hokies do not fare well in situations where they are coming off 2 consecutive ATS losses when they are installed as a 8+ favorite…They are only 1-7 covering the spread in that situation. They are 0-3 ATS on the road this year. There is little doubt they will have the defensive edge, but the Pirates have shown some offensive prowess in the last two games, putting up 87 points, but still indicative that the offense is running on all cylinders.
East Carolina is 11-0 in games following a straight up / against the spread win as a dog of 3 points or more..This will be only E. Carolina’s 3rd home game of the season against boarded teams, they are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS.
Tech will probably get the win, but I will take the home field advantage with E. Carolina +14.0 (buy 1/2 if necessary)…
Our hockey selections have been on fire…we were 5-0 last night and are 7-0 past 2 days and 9-1 past 3 days…Get all of our daily selections in all sports for only $15.00 or check out our “new” selection package for only $89.00 per month including your first week of selections free.. www.tonydiamond.sports.com
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